Supply on the rise, but not across all price ranges

The Calgary Real Estate Board released the latest statistics, saying, as we transition into winter, Calgary’s housing market is following typical seasonal trends, with activity slowing compared to the fall. However, year-over-year demand remains relatively strong. In November, increased sales in detached, semi-detached, and row homes offset a decline in apartment condominium sales. The 1,797 sales for November mirrored last year’s levels and remained 20 per cent above long-term trends for the month.

The significant shift lies in supply. Inventory levels rose to 4,352 units in November, a notable increase from the 3,000 units reported last year. Despite the recent gains, inventory levels remain below long-term trends for the month.

“Housing supply has been a challenge over the past several years due to the sudden rise in population,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, Chief Economist at CREB^®. “Rising new home construction has bolstered supply in rental, new home and resales ownership markets. However, supply improvements vary significantly by location, price range, and property type.”

The months of supply have increased to over two months, representing a shift away from the extremely low levels seen earlier this year and in the past three Novembers, which reported under two months of supply. While these more balanced conditions are promising for potential buyers, many market segments still favour sellers.

Improved supply options have tempered the pace of price growth. Year-over-year gains range from nearly seven per cent for row homes to nine per cent for apartment-style units. The total residential benchmark price reached $587,900, reflecting a year-over-year increase of just under four per cent. This slower growth reflects a shift toward more affordable row and apartment-style units. Seasonally adjusted prices have remained stable over the past four months despite unadjusted prices trending down in line with seasonal patterns.

Airdrie
With 344 units available, Supply in Airdrie is returning to levels more consistent with activity reported prior to 2020. Supply levels have improved across all property types, with detached and row-style properties accounting for 84 per cent of the supply. While sales have remained strong relative to long-term trends, recent gains in new listings helped support improvements in supply levels.

Improved supply choice is taking some of the pressure off home prices. In November, the total residential benchmark price was $543,300, four per cent higher than last November. Apartment-style properties reported the largest year-over-year change at nearly 16 per cent.

New listings in the town reached a record high for November. The rise in new listings was met with a surge in sales, as November sales were amongst the highest levels reported in November. Much of the growth in sales was driven by detached activity. Strong sales activity prevented a significant shift in inventory levels, which remain 18 per cent below the month’s long-term trends.

The pace of price growth has eased over the past few months, which is not uncommon for this time of year. As of November, the unadjusted benchmark price was $568,600, nearly four per cent higher than levels reported last year at this time. While prices grew across all property types, the largest price gains were reported for apartment-style homes.

Unlike other centres, Okotoks reported a pullback in new listings to 47 units this month. At the same time, there were 52 sales, preventing any significant change to the low inventory situation in the area. Okotoks has struggled with supply since the end of 2020, keeping the months of supply low below two months throughout most of that time.

In November, the unadjusted benchmark price was $624,000, six per cent higher than last year’s levels. Prices have improved across all property types, with the largest gains occurring for row-style properties. Detached prices have also been on the rise and, in November, pushed up to $707,300.

Read the full release here www.creb.com/News/Media_Releases/2024/December/Supply_on_the_rise_but_not_across_all_price_ranges/ and connect with me for more about the real estate market in and around Calgary. Join me on Facebook and Google for the latest in real estate news!